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Federal Reserve

In-depth investment research and commentary from Litman Gregory and our Research Alliance

Jun 12, 2019 Research Alliance One Plus One Equals Three—WisdomTree

To watch the money and bond markets of late, there is one development that stands out quite clearly: the Federal Reserve has to cut interest rates. Kevin Flanagan explains why the markets think trade uncertainty plus economic weakness might just equal three rate cuts in the future.

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Jun 03, 2019 Research Alliance Small-Cap Investors: Time to Listen More Closely—WisdomTree

With the Fed officially putting further rate hikes on hold for 2019 and publicly acknowledging some softness in the global economy, it may be time asset-allocators listen more closely to Fed warnings. Matt Wagner discusses.

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Apr 29, 2019 Research Alliance The Next Step for the Fed Could Be a Hike—Guggenheim Investments

Continued growth will ultimately lead the Fed to increase rates again. The only questions are when and can anything derail this scenario.

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Apr 18, 2019 Research Alliance March Jobs Report is a Goldilocks Number for the Fed—Eaton Vance

U.S. payroll growth returned to form in March with the economy adding 196k jobs, a bit above the 177k consensus. As far as the Fed goes, this is a perfect Goldilocks number—not too hot and not too cold.

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Apr 17, 2019 Research Alliance The Fed vs. the ECB: Who Will Blink First?—WisdomTree

If bond investors have learned anything this year, it is that the “winds of change” can blow in dramatically different directions regarding monetary policy. Kevin Flanagan discusses how market sentiment has shifted from where we were only four months ago.

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Apr 03, 2019 Research Alliance Did the Fed Cut Rates without Telling Anyone?—WisdomTree

After the March Fed meeting, no more rate hikes appeared to be in the offing for 2019, so naturally, the only place to go from there would be rate cuts. Kevin Flanagan analyzes the Treasury yields that look more like the Fed already cut rates but forgot to tell anyone.

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Apr 03, 2019 Research Alliance The Fed’s "Financial Conditions" Conundrum—Thornburg Investment Management

Just because the market is celebrating the Fed’s policy u-turn doesn’t mean volatility is a thing of the past. Disconnects between fundamentals and assets prices don’t make for market stability.

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Mar 20, 2019 Research Alliance “March”ing Out Like a Lamb—WisdomTree

Is the Federal Reserve leaving March by “going out like a lamb?” Kevin Flanagan discusses the outcome of this week’s FOMC meeting.

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Feb 07, 2019 Research Alliance Capitulation, Thy Name Is Powell—OppenheimerFunds

The U.S. Federal Reserve faces reality and decides to pause on raising interest rates.

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Jan 14, 2019 Research Alliance Suffering Liquidity Withdrawal Syndrome, Market Gets Its Fix—Thornburg

It appears the “Powell Put” has been exercised as the Fed chief declares no “pre-set” course on rates and no “hesitation” to change its balance sheet runoff. But does the economy still need Fed accommodation, or do markets just want it?

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