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In-depth investment research and commentary from Litman Gregory and our Research Alliance

Dec 03, 2017 Research Alliance Emerging Market Performance Dispersion Set to Rise After Strong 2017—Thornburg Investment Management

Emerging markets have benefited from both improving fundamentals and bullish sentiment driving inflows to the asset class. Individual country risks, however, are poised to rise. Be selective.

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Nov 29, 2017 Research Alliance Forecasting the Next Recession—Guggenheim Investments

Predicting recessions well in advance is notoriously difficult, but we believe our Recession Dashboard and Recession Probability Model make it possible to get an early read on when the next recession will begin by analyzing the late-cycle behavior of several key economic and market indicators.

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Nov 22, 2017 Research Alliance A Megatrend is Underway—Thornburg Investment Management

Lately, investors have been focused on headlines about China’s twice-a-decade congress reshuffling, looking for signs of leadership changes to come in the world’s second-largest economy. But a different kind of leadership change in China is well underway—and investors should take note.

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Nov 21, 2017 Research Alliance Making Sense of the Currency Effect in Foreign Equities Investing—Thornburg Investment Management

U.S. investors in international markets would be well advised to understand the impact that currency fluctuations have on their international portfolio.

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Nov 14, 2017 Research Alliance China's Slow Recovery from Debt Hangover Begins—Thornburg Investment Management

Growth in the country's corporate debt load has finally leveled off this year as financial conditions and regulatory oversight tighten. That's good. But rebounding returns on incremental assets and common equity are even better.

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Nov 16, 2017 Research Alliance Fixed-Income Outlook Video—Guggenheim Investments

In the video companion to our Fourth Quarter 2017 Fixed-Income Outlook, portfolio manager Steve Brown and Maria Giraldo, a Director in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, explain why we still favor defensive positioning given limited potential upside for risk assets.

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Nov 03, 2017 Research Alliance Boring Companies, Exciting Stocks—Thornburg Investment Management

Economic dislocations, regulatory shifts, or intense competition can change the market dynamics confronting big, and at times unwieldy, conglomerates. They often force corporate restructurings that can result in more effective capital allocation and returns for investors who recognize promising new strategies amid the prevailing market pressures.

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Oct 30, 2017 Research Alliance India Takes a Page Out of the TARP Playbook—Thornburg Investment Management

In its most concerted effort to reverse slowing credit and economic growth to date, New Delhi devises a $32 billion public sector bank recapitalization.

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Oct 23, 2017 Research Alliance China's Central Bank Chief Warns of "Minsky Moment"—Thornburg Investment Management

Zhou Xiaochuan appeared to be talking about China, given his contextual warnings about the country's high corporate and rising household debt loads. But the message may apply to frothy and debt-laden markets globally.

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Apr 24, 2018 Research Alliance First Quarter 2018 Strategic Income Outlook—Osterweis Capital Management

We believe there is enough evidence to support a growing economy for the next several years.

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