Research

Should the mood this year at Davos prove once again to be a contra-indicator, this may be the signal that the economy is likely to re-accelerate soon and that the party in risk assets continues.

An uptick in corporate defaults in 2019 will mark the beginning of a prolonged period of stress in the corporate bond market.

It’s no secret: Emerging-market equities had a rough 2018. But as we look ahead to 2019, our outlook highlights three reasons this asset class may be poised for a comeback.

Scott Minerd, Chairman of Investments and Global CIO, and Guggenheim’s Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group analyze the 10 macroeconomic trends likely to shape monetary policy and investment performance as we head toward a recession in 2020.

It appears the “Powell Put” has been exercised as the Fed chief declares no “pre-set” course on rates and no “hesitation” to change its balance sheet runoff. But does the economy still need Fed accommodation, or do markets just want it?

What can investors expect in 2019—and how can they prepare? In our 2019 investment outlook, we share the global issues keeping us awake at night, from trade wars to monetary policy.

Christopher Polk of the London School of Economics discusses the outlook for quantitative investing.

Looking at fundamentals of dividend stocks can help investors avoid unpleasant surprises.

As our investors know well, we play long ball at Ariel and do not get caught up in the drama that whipsaws the markets. Accordingly, we will continue to follow our disciplined, patient investing approach and do our best to position our portfolios to withstand that which we cannot control, while always driving towards an ever elusive finish line.

We shifted to overweight emerging market equities versus developed markets.